Ill first start by giving an update on where all 36 teams in AAAA stand after all games were played for this weekend.
Teams Clinching bids
- Reading
- CD East
- Cedar Crest
- McCaskey
- Red Land
- Red Lion
- Hempfield
- York
- Mechanicsburg
- Exeter
- Dallastown
Teams who haven't clinched a bid but our in decent to really good shape to clinch:
- Conestoga Valley 11-7: Needs one more win to clinch. Have three tough league games upcoming but finish up with a one win Garden Spot and a underachieving Governor Mifflin team.
- Carlisle 11-7: Needs one more win to clinch. Has not played good ball as of late as they are in the midst of a three game losing streak. Tough week with games against CD East and Steel High. But should get a win against Cedar Cliff or Kennard Dale.
- Cocalico 10-8: Need two wins in last four games to clinch. Darlings of December and Early January but seem to be leaking oil as they are in the midst of a four game losing streak and have lost six of their last eight games. Once thought to be a forgone conclusion that they would make it now not so sure. Should win against Garden Spot but then finish up against rival Ephrata who they have had little success with in the past and then go on to play Solanco and Conestoga Valley.
- Cedar Cliff 10-8: Need two more wins to clinch. Have lost four of their last five games but they are done playing Steel High and CD East. So they should get in but like Cocalico are leaking oil right now.
- Harrisburg 9-7: Also need two more wins to clinch. Have tough games left with Chester and Steel High but should get to 11 wins.
- Chambersburg 8-8: Only play 20 PIAA games so they need two wins in their last four games. Won't be easy to get those wins with their schedule remaining. They play Cedar Cliff and Greencastle-Antrim this week and finish up with McDevitt and Harrisburg.
- Elizabethtown 9-9: One of the hottest teams lately with winning three straight and seven of their last nine. Also helps that four of their final five games are on their home court.
- Solanco 9-9: They are another team playing good ball lately with winning three of their last four games. They need to finish 3-2 down the stretch which wont be easy. Could come down to their last game on Feb. 1 against a tough Oxford team.
- Waynesboro 9-9: Also need to finish 3-2 down the stretch to get in. Four of their five remaining games are on the road. It is a virtual lock that if they get in they will be the lowest seeded team cause of there very low power rating.
- Wilson 9-10: Some might say their chances aren't good. But when you look at their schedule not a tough lot to get through. But only one of their last four is on their home court. Their playoff life could come down to their final game against crosstown rival Governor Mifflin in Shillington.
Teams whose playoff hopes are on life support:
- Manheim Township 7-10: Need to win four of their last five games to get in which isn't going to happen with games against Cedar Crest, Hempfield, and Mccaskey left on their schedule.
- Central York 9-10: Need to win three of their last four and have games against Red Lion and York left so they look to be staying home come February 2.
- Cumberland Valley 7-11: One more loss will eliminate them and that should come on Friday against CD East.
- Gettysburg 8-9: Need to go 4-2 down the stretch to get in.
- Southwestern 9-11: One more loss eliminates them and I don't see them winning any of their remaining games with them playing York, Red Lion, and Dallastown.
Teams who have been eliminated:
- Penn Manor
- Central Dauphin
- Ephrata
- Warwick
- Governor Mifflin
- Twin Valley
- Lower Dauphin
- Spring Grove
- Garden Spot
- York Vo-Tech
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